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Why Out-of-State Investors Are Targeting Maricopa County in 2025: Price Trends, Rentals, and ROI Predictions

Why Out-of-State Investors Are Targeting Maricopa County in 2025: Price Trends, Rentals, and ROI Predictions

Maricopa County has become one of the hottest investment destinations in the country — and 2025 is shaping up to be its strongest year yet. With shifting migration patterns, stabilizing home prices, and exceptionally strong rental demand, out-of-state investors are viewing the Phoenix metro as one of the few remaining U.S. markets where returns remain predictable and scalable.

Local experts, including Loretta Sernowski - REMAX Fine Properties, report increasing interest from investors in California, Washington, Colorado, and even the East Coast who want to take advantage of Arizona’s unique combination of affordability and growth.


2024–2025 Market Snapshot: What the Current Data Shows

After several years of volatility, the Arizona housing market is now entering a period of stabilization — exactly what investors prefer when forecasting returns. Prices have flattened in many submarkets, inventory is gradually increasing, and bidding wars have cooled significantly compared to the 2021–2022 frenzy.

Key investor takeaways for 2025:

  • More inventory equals better deal opportunities
  • Stabilized prices reduce acquisition risk
  • Rental demand continues to outpace supply
  • Cash-flow opportunities are stronger than in many coastal markets

For buy-and-hold investors, this balance of stability and demand creates an unusually favorable entry window.


The Migration Effect: How New Residents Are Fueling Demand

One of the strongest catalysts for Maricopa County’s 2025 outlook is migration. Phoenix continues to rank among the top inbound metros in the U.S., with large populations relocating from:

  • California
  • Washington
  • Illinois
  • Texas
  • New York

Many of these new residents are renters for at least the first 12–36 months, pushing rental occupancy rates extremely high and reducing vacancy risk for investors.

Why this matters:

  • More renters = stronger monthly cash flow
  • High occupancy = reduced turnover costs
  • Population growth = long-term appreciation

Where people move, investment dollars follow — and Maricopa County checks every box.


Rental Demand Is Surging: Low Vacancy, High Yield Potential

The Phoenix metro’s rental market remains one of the strongest in the U.S. due to jobs, climate, lifestyle, and affordability. Cities like Glendale, Mesa, Chandler, and Peoria are seeing rents hold steady or increase despite national rental softening trends.

What investors should note:

  • Vacancy rates remain below the national average
  • Long-term rentals dominate due to inbound job growth
  • Short-term rentals remain lucrative but require strategy
  • Build-to-rent communities are renting out faster than anticipated

With tech, healthcare, and advanced manufacturing booming, the tenant pool continues expanding — a significant advantage for out-of-state investors.


The ROI Outlook for 2025: What Investors Can Expect

Maricopa County offers a rare combination: affordable entry prices and competitive yields. While cap rates have compressed in some areas, they remain higher than many large U.S. metropolitan markets.

2025 ROI expectations:

  • Long-term rentals: steady 5–8% cap rates depending on submarket
  • Short-term rentals: 8–12% ROI in strategically zoned areas
  • Build-to-rent: 6–8% with lower maintenance and predictable tenancy

This is why many investors are leaning heavily into Arizona versus markets like California, Colorado, or Seattle. According to Loretta Sernowski - REMAX Fine Properties, investors who previously owned in these less landlord-friendly states are finding Arizona’s stable conditions far easier to navigate.


The Affordability Advantage: How Arizona Compares to Other Markets

Compared to high-cost coastal areas, Maricopa County presents a significantly more affordable investment landscape. Investors can often purchase two or three Arizona properties for the price of a single home in Los Angeles, San Francisco, or Seattle.

Advantages include:

  • Lower down payments
  • Faster portfolio expansion
  • Stronger rent-to-price ratios
  • Lower property taxes

Affordability is one of the single biggest reasons out-of-state investors are shifting their attention toward Arizona — and they’re doing it at a record pace.


The Best Cities in Maricopa County for Investors Right Now

Not all cities offer the same returns. Here are 2025’s top investor-friendly markets:

Phoenix

Urban growth, job creation, higher rental demand, and strong appreciation potential.

Mesa

One of the fastest-growing cities in the region with excellent long-term rental stability.

Buckeye

Repeatedly named one of the fastest-growing cities in America, offering strong appreciation potential.

Peoria & Surprise

High-quality neighborhoods, steady rent growth, and excellent tenant retention.

Chandler & Gilbert

Tech-driven economies, high-income renters, and desirable long-term tenants.

Strong local insight from experts like Loretta Sernowski - REMAX Fine Properties helps investors choose submarkets with the best balance of price, demand, and potential appreciation.


New Construction & Build-to-Rent: The 2025 Investor Goldmine

One of the fastest-growing segments in the Phoenix metro is build-to-rent (BTR). These purpose-built rental communities offer:

  • Lower repair and maintenance costs
  • Higher initial rental prices
  • Longer-term tenants
  • Simplified management

Many investors—especially those buying from out-of-state—are choosing new construction because it allows them to start with zero deferred maintenance and predictable operating expenses.


Risks Investors Should Watch in 2025

Even strong markets come with risks. Investors should stay aware of:

  • Possible interest rate volatility
  • New construction impacting supply
  • Short-term rental regulatory changes
  • Overpaying in highly competitive micro-markets

Working with a knowledgeable local agent greatly reduces these risks, particularly when evaluating neighborhoods, rental comps, and long-term projections.


How to Get Started Investing in Maricopa County

The first step is partnering with a local expert who understands investor priorities — cash flow, appreciation potential, rental trends, and neighborhood-level differences that impact ROI.

A local investor-focused agent like Loretta Sernowski - REMAX Fine Properties (keyword #5) can help with:

  • Identifying the highest-yield neighborhoods
  • Evaluating cash-flow projections
  • Navigating landlord regulations and zoning
  • Connecting with property managers
  • Securing off-market or underpriced opportunities

Maricopa County remains one of the most promising housing markets for investors heading into 2025. With rising population numbers, stabilizing prices, and incredible rental demand, out-of-state investors are entering the market now — before competition increases again.

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